Showing posts with label Olympics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Olympics. Show all posts

22 January 2009

JR: "UK has nothing to sell"

Jim Rogers(JR)'s advise with reference to the pound and the UK economy pushed the country deeper into its financial gloom. With a very troubled housing and financial service sector, JR's statements push the already nervous investors over the edge. In fact, the advise spark a Sterling sell-off resulting it sitting at a 23 year low against the USD and an all-time low against the Yen. Questions have emerged whether the UK will be able to ride out this financial storm and how soon or earned the reputation as being the second European Union country after Iceland to fail in this crisis. Are the fundamentals of the UK that weak? Will the RBS, Lloyds and Barclays be nationalised soon? Will the country be able to retain its AAA ratings? Will pound near parity with the USD? Will the London Olympics 2012's projects get stuck? One thing I am sure, despite all this, the country will still have their famous football clubs and pubs, just to name a few.

FT.com: The pound is a currency with no underpinning and should fall against the dollar and the euro, says Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings and co-founder of the Quantum Fund with George Soros.

He says his view reflects the UK’s dire economic situation: “It’s simple, the UK has nothing to sell.”

Mr Rogers says
the two main pillars of support for sterling have been North Sea oil and the strength of the UK financial services sector, in particular, the City of London’s role.
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But Mr Rogers says just as North Sea oil is running out, so London’s standing as a major financial centre is set to suffer.

“I don’t think there is a sound UK bank now, at least, if there is one I don’t know about it,” he says.

The City of London is finished, the financial centre of the world is moving east.”

“All the money is in Asia. Why would it go back to the West? You don’t need London,” says Mr Rogers.

Mr Rogers thinks
the pound is more vulnerable than the dollar or the euro.

He says the
UK housing market is arguably in a worse state than that of the US, given pockets of strength in the US and prices that are sliding across the board in the UK.

Meanwhile, he says, the UK is in worse shape economically than the eurozone, where most countries are not big debtors and do not run huge trade deficits.

“If the UK discovers more North Sea oil, I might change this view,” he says. “But I don’t see that happening.”


* China's economy grew 6.8% in the 4Q; slowest in 7 years. For the year, the economy grew 9% in 2008.

* South Korea's economy shrank 5.6% in the 4Q.

* BNM has lowered its key interest rate by 75 basis point to 2.5% yesterday. Pretty sharp and desperate?

* Japan keeps its key interest rate at 0.1%.

* Come July 6, KLCI will be replaced and be known as FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (30 largest main board companies based on investable market capitalisation. We will have a tough time getting used to it!

11 August 2008

Technical Analysis - August 11 2008

S&P500 (1,296, last week 1,260 or +2.9% w.o.w)
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The daily charts; especially the MACD/daily DMI(+ and -) continue to improve during last week. The daily DMI(+ and -) have just turned bullish with an early positive crossover. The DMI+ is now above the ADX indicating positive uptrend although it may be a bit early to confirm. It has managed to stay above the major resistance line of 1,280 and for this week it must stay above 1,295 to maintain in the 2nd level uptrend channel line mentioned last week. The weekly charts although improved are still a long way off from a positive uptrend. The index is likely to trade between 1,260 and 1,330.

KLSE CI (1,120, last week 1,159 or -3.4% w.ow)
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The daily MACD although still in a positive crossover has weakened substantially after a week of selling and the DMI (+ and -) were not able to sustain the early positive crossover and have now moved away from each other indicating weaknesses. The weekly charts have also worsened. The index needs to work hard this week to avoid falling into bearish mode again. The index is expected to trade between 1,100 and 1,190. Strong support is seen at 1,120 - the 200-day ema.
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HangSeng (21,885, last week 22,863 or -4.2% w.o.w )
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After a week of volatility and persistent selling, the daily MACD chart has shown some early bearish signal last week as it has just turned into a negative crossover and a negative MACD Hist. The DMI(+ and -) and ADX lines have also weakened substantially during last week. The weekly charts have also worsened. The index needs to work hard this week to avoid falling into bearish mode again. Immediate support is at 21,600 while resistance at 23,000.

Nikkei 225 (13,168, last week 13,095 or +0.6% w.ow)
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The daily MACD chart is still positive while DMI(+ and -) continued to break away from each other during last week. The weekly MACD although is now at the crucial stage of hooking down still managed to stay afloat for now. The weekly MACD has been on a positive crossover since April this year. The index is expected to trade between 13,000 to 14,000 The index needs to work hard and maintain above 13,300 to show some uptrend possibilities.
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* Shanghai Stock Exchange CI drop another 5% today.....no olympics rally but olympics lari..
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* Goldman Sachs believes China's economy will be slowed instead of stimulated the next 2 months by the Beijing Olympics Games and Paralympics because the restriction on construction, factories, cars and mining to cut pollution will be a "short term" drag on economic output.
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* BT Singapore: Singapore's economy grew at the slowest pace in five years. The GDP expanded by 2.1% in the 2Q, after growing 6.9% in the 1Q.
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* The Edge: Tourism Malaysia expects to attract 21.5m tourists this year, 1 million short of initial target resulting a potential RM2b losses in foreign receipts.

08 August 2008

Eight Eight Eight

Picture: ChinaDaily


After a long 7 years of waiting, the coming out party for China begins today. The 29th Olympics -One World, One Dream starts tonight at 8.08pm and will only ends on the 24th August. For our information, I refurnish below "Beijing Olympics by the numbers" which was sourced from The Sun(via Graphic News- BOCOG, Kyodo News, Beijing Municipal Government)

8:08pm, 08/08/08

Time and date of the opening ceremony of the 2008 Olympic Games-eight is a lucky number in China

10,500

Number of athletes

302

Gold medals in 28 sports at 37 venues

2 million

Visitors expected

USD37.6b

Record cost of stadiums and transport infrastructure-more than twice what Greece spent on 2004 Athens Olympics. 12 Beijing venues are new, 11 are existing facilities, and 8 are temporary

USD300m

Amount to be spent on security. Security for 2004 Games cost USD1.4b

100,000

Police deployed, backed by 600,000 volunteers

1.5m

Beijing tenants evicted to clear way for venues and other facilities-one in 10 of Beijing's population

70,000

Number of Olympic volunteers

3.3m

Number of cars expected on Beijing's gridlocked streets during Olympics

Some other mind boggling numbers- 205 countries to participate

15,000 performers and 29,000 firework shells to be used for the opening

* No party for Shanghai Stock Exchange- The index close down 4.5% to 2,606 points.

* Jakarta is to consider longer time of over 3-5 years for Maybank to par down its shareholdings to get Bank Negara to approve the deal. Meanwhile analysts in Indonesia have downgraded BII ranging from Rp200-Rp375. Maybank's price was Rp510.

* InternationalHeraldTribune: Britain's economy is in worse shape than most in Europe, with the exception of Spain and Ireland, because its heavy reliance on two industries that currently struggle the most: housing and financial services.

* China's currency on Friday fell against the strengthening USD for the 9th consecutive day.

* FT.com: The Euro fell to a fresh seven week low against the USD and European government bonds rose sharply as concern about the outlook for the Euro Zone economy intensifies aided also by Trichet's worry.